№2Autumn 2011
1Summer 2011
2Autumn 2011
Global Foresight Analytics Foreign Policy & Diplomacy Politics Economics Security Law and Institutions Society
Politics and Media
We rarely look at the process and pace of change itself, but more at its manifestations. The way in which the technical ability to convey information, since the invention of writing, has changed is a good example of a “geometrical or exponential curve” in which the accumulating body of ideas promotes ever more change at a faster and faster speeds.
Armenia Online: Activism or slacktivism?
The development of the internet in Armenia has been frustrated by the problematic privatization of the ArmenTel monopoly in the late 1990s. Closed borders with Azerbaijan and Turkey have exacerbated the problem, making connection speeds the slowest and most expensive in the region, though how this has actually affected internet penetration remains unclear.
Georgian Media and Georgian Facebook
The article covers Georgia’s media problems and the challenges it faces in the establishment of civil society. The author sets out the context of the 2003 Rose Revolution, when Georgian society rose in rebellion, refusing to forgive the ruling power for the errors made during the parliamentary elections.
Social Media in Turkey: Walking the line between opportunity and danger
Turkey, the Western Gateway to the Caucasus, is currently deeply involved in discussions of social media issues. Older Turks anxiously follow the online activity of the average Turkish youth, who spends 7.8 hours per day online.
Colloquy with Ayman Mohyeldin: Covering Egypt’s revolution and Al-Jazeera’s success
The entire world fixed its gaze on the 31 year old reporter who was experiencing a historic journey with the Egyptians who flocked into Cairo’s Tahrir Square earlier this year, to demand the ousting of Egyptian President Hosni Mubarak, who ruled the Arab country with an iron fist for three decades. Mohyeldin was a student in the US in the summer of 2000, when the Middle East was burning amid the second Palestinian intifada. He went to a barbecue party with one of his friends, where he met an NBC producer. They discussed a wide range of issues, including Palestine. The producer told Ayman that he had some very interesting insights, and whether he had ever thought of going into journalism. Ayman’s response was negative.

'CI People'

Erica Marat
Research Fellow at the Central Asia-Caucasus Institute and Silk Road Studies Program
Anar Valiyev
Dr. Anar Valiyev is Associate Dean of Academic Affairs at the Azerbaijan Diplomatic Academy
Kevin Rosner
Dr. Kevin Rosner is a Senior Fellow at the Institute for the Analysis of Global Security
Svante Cornell
Swedish scholar specializing on politics and security issues in Eurasia, especially the South Caucasus,Turkey, and Central Asia.
Güner Özkan
Lecturer at the University of Mugla/Turkey, the Faculty of Economics and Administrative Sciences, the Department of International relations, and adviser on the Caucasus Region at the Ankara-based International Strategic Research Organisation (ISRO/U.SAK).
Randall Baker
Dr. Randall Baker is a Professor and Dean of Academic Affairs at the Azerbaijan Diplomatic Academy, a Distinguished Professor at the New Bulgarian University, and an Emeritus Professor at Indiana University
Zaur Shiriyev

Executive Editor of Caucasus International Journal. Has an MA in Political Science from the University of Ankara, Turkey and an executive degree on Security Studies from George Marshall European Center for Security Studies.

Kamal Makili-Aliyev

Dr. Kamal Makili-Aliyev is Leading Research Fellow in the Center for Strategic Studies in Baku, Azerbaijan

Editor's Note

“The time is out of joint”: Revolution in Middle East & Celebration in Eurasia

For the past few months, social media has been the hot topic in world politics. Facebook and Twitter have dominated the headlines, and for the first time in the age of the internet, there has been discussion about the “revolutionary effect” of social networking sites in the so-called Arab Awakening.

As the struggle for freedom in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) continues to unfold, the causes of these popular revolts seem quite understandable. This was a historical challenge, and from the perspective of historical development, “the time is out of joint” in the MENA region: people were watching acts of state repression on YouTube; activists were using Facebook and Twitter to organize protests. The popular demonstrations have had a “domino effect,” leading the awakening of the Arab region, while the international community anticipated the “butterfly effect” on neighboring regions. While the initial results were not immediately impressive, the fragility spread from Libya to Syria and Yemen, and the new regimes in Tunisia and Egypt are already grappling with the many challenges of transitioning to democracy.

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